UN envoy Mladenov warns of risks to Gaza ceasefire stability

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UN envoy Nickolay Mladenov warned the UN Security Council that the Gaza ceasefire, established in October, faced a critical failure point due to ongoing Israeli air strikes and persistent Hamas military activity. The tension centers on a disagreement over a 15-point roadmap for Hamas's disarmament in exchange for a phased Israeli troop withdrawal, with Israel demanding full disarmament before any pullout occurs. Since the ceasefire began, 1,303 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli strikes, while four Israeli soldiers have died in Palestinian attacks. This conflict follows the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack that killed approximately 1,200 people and resulted in 73,430 Palestinian deaths during the subsequent Israeli military campaign.

Consequences

If the ceasefire collapses, Mladenov warned that the roadmap for decommissioning and the proposed technocratic administration will become unviable, resulting in a 'point of no return' for the region. Without a functional deconfliction mechanism to halt the violence, the current cycle of military actions threatens to permanently dissolve the diplomatic framework intended to end the war.

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