Rohingya repatriation efforts remain stalled amid violence in Rakhine
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Myanmar's military-backed government recently reported progress in verifying approximately 308,000 Rohingya refugees for potential repatriation from Bangladesh out of 820,000 names submitted. However, the military stated that returns remained suspended until security conditions in Rakhine State improved, despite analysts noting that the junta no longer controls most of that region. The repatriation process stalled amid a nationwide civil war triggered by the 2021 coup, leaving approximately 1.2 million refugees in Bangladeshi camps. Experts characterized large-scale, safe returns as currently impossible due to the ongoing conflict and the fact that the military, which was previously linked to genocidal intent by the United States and UN investigators, remains in power.
Consequences
Rohingya refugees will likely remain in long-term displacement in Bangladesh as the security vacuum in Rakhine State, now largely controlled by the Arakan Army, precludes safe return. The population remains caught in a civil war where they face ongoing risks of abuses, including forced recruitment and arbitrary detention by both the Myanmar military and the Arakan Army.
Sources
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