SADC Releases 2026/27 Rainy Season Climate Outlook for Southern Africa

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The Southern African Development Community (SADC) released its 2026/27 rainy season climate outlook following the SARCOF-33 forum held in Swakopmund, Namibia, from 25 to 28 August 2026. The forecast indicated a high probability of below-normal rainfall across central and southern SADC nations, including Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, and South Africa, while wetter conditions were expected in northern regions. This outlook was driven primarily by a strengthening El Niño in the tropical Pacific and a likely positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These findings are significant as they provide the basis for national meteorological services to issue country-specific advisories for the upcoming agricultural cycle.

Consequences

The persistence of below-normal rainfall in central and southern areas suggests potential challenges for regional water security and agricultural stability. Stakeholders are advised to monitor sub-seasonal and shorter-range forecasts to mitigate the effects of the anticipated drier conditions and above-average temperatures.

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