Plotted
PoliticalBrazil·Unpinned17 Oct 2026

Ipespe Poll Shows Flávio Bolsonaro at 51.2% and Lula at 48.8%

AI-summarized · Neutrality-checked

Not on the map

This event isn't on the map, but everything else — summary, consequences, sources — is unaffected.

On 17 October 2026, the Ipespe polling institute released a survey showing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva with 51.2% of valid votes to 48.8% ahead of the 25 October runoff. The 2.4-point lead fell within the survey’s 2.6-point margin of error, marking a decrease from a 5.4-point gap reported in a previous Ipespe poll on…

Loading full story…

Sources and context

Rio Times
Digital newsroomCompany ownedBrazilStandards published
Rio Times
Digital newsroomCompany ownedBrazilStandards published
Rio Times
Digital newsroomCompany ownedBrazilStandards published
Rio Times
Digital newsroomCompany ownedBrazilStandards published

Source-level context, not a score for this article. Methodology and evidence · Report outdated information

View on map

Know where. Know why.