Thomas Miller projects 78% probability for Democrats in Senate races

AI-summarized · Neutrality-checked

Northwestern University data scientist Thomas Miller applied a predictive model to the 2024 U.S. Senate elections, utilizing real-time data from betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket. By adjusting market prices for inherent biases and applying time series analysis, Miller’s model indicated a 77.6% probability of a Democratic majority in the Senate as of…

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