Plotted
EconomicBrazil·Unpinned15 Oct 2026

Brazil interest rate cut probability reaches 86.5% before retail sales data

AI-summarized · Neutrality-checked

Not on the map

This event isn't on the map, but everything else — summary, consequences, sources — is unaffected.

Traders on Polymarket priced an 86.5% probability of a 25-basis-point Selic rate cut at the upcoming 3–4 November Copom meeting. This market sentiment preceded the release of August retail sales data, which analysts forecast to grow 0.7% month-on-month and 1.5% year-on-year. The Ibovespa index opened above the 200,000-point threshold, while the USD/BRL…

Loading full story…

Sources and context

Rio Times
Digital newsroomCompany ownedBrazilStandards published

Source-level context, not a score for this article. Methodology and evidence · Report outdated information

View on map

Know where. Know why.