PoliticalBrazil·25 Oct 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro's Polymarket Odds Decline
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On October 25, 2026, the implied probability of Flávio Bolsonaro winning the Brazilian presidential runoff on the prediction market Polymarket dropped from 81.9% at 1:30 p.m. ET to 64.9% by 4:51 p.m. ET. This decline was driven by 612 trades totaling approximately US$87,000, with an 11-point slide occurring within a six-minute window. While market analysts…
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Rio Times
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